Is it significant?

P-value calculator

A p-value is the probability, if the null hypothesis were true, of a test statistic at least as extreme as yours. A t of 2.1 with 24 degrees of freedom has a two-tailed p-value of 0.0464, below 0.05; z = 1.96 gives 0.05.

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Calculator

P-value calculator

Your test statistic in, the p-value and the decision out

Test statistic

Tail and level

Chi-square and F tests are right-tailed; a two-tailed choice is read as right-tailed for them.

0.0464

two-tailed p-value, t

−3−2−10123

Significant at α = 0.05: p < 0.05, so reject the null hypothesis.

Left tail
0.9768
Right tail
0.0232
Significant at 0.10 / 0.05 / 0.01
yes / yes / no

How it works. The p-value is the area in the tail (or tails) beyond your statistic under the null distribution. Values below 0.0001 are shown in scientific notation instead of rounding to 0.

How to calculate a p-value

A p-value is the tail area beyond your test statistic under the distribution the null hypothesis predicts. Pick the distribution your test uses, enter the statistic and its degrees of freedom, choose one or two tails, and the area is the p-value.[1]

Which distribution to choose
Your testStatisticDegrees of freedom
Test for a mean with known σ, or a proportionznone
One-sample, two-sample or paired t-testtn − 1, n₁ + n₂ − 2, or Welch df
Chi-square goodness of fitχ²categories − 1
Chi-square test of independenceχ²(rows − 1)(columns − 1)
One-way ANOVAFgroups − 1 and N − groups

Worked example

A t-test gives t = 2.1 with 24 degrees of freedom. The area to the right of 2.1 is 0.0232; a two-tailed test doubles it: p = 0.0464. Since 0.0464 < 0.05, the result is significant at the 5% level, but not at 1%.

One-tailed or two-tailed?

Use a two-tailed p-value when the alternative hypothesis says “different” (≠) and a one-tailed p-value only when it says “greater than” or “less than” and that direction was chosen before seeing the data. A two-tailed p-value is twice the one-tailed value for z and t. Chi-square and F tests are right-tailed by construction, because large values are the evidence against the null.[4][5]

Reading the result: significance and α

If the p-value is below your significance level α, reject the null hypothesis; otherwise do not reject it. α is the chance of a Type I error you accept in advance, usually 0.05.[2] The calculator states the decision at your α and shows it at 0.10, 0.05 and 0.01 at once.

What a p-value is notThe American Statistical Association’s statement on p-values lists the common misreadings: a p-value is not the probability that the null hypothesis is true, it does not measure the size of an effect, and a single “p < 0.05” should not be the only basis of a conclusion.[1] Report the effect size or a confidence interval alongside it.

Critical values for comparison

A statistic beyond the critical value has p below α. The two-sided 5% critical value of z is 1.96; for t it is larger with few degrees of freedom and approaches 1.960 as df grows.[6][3]

Two-sided critical values of t
dfα = 0.10α = 0.05α = 0.01
16.31412.70663.657
22.924.3039.925
52.0152.5714.032
101.8122.2283.169
151.7532.1312.947
201.7252.0862.845
251.7082.062.787
301.6972.0422.75
601.67122.66
1201.6581.982.617
∞ (z)1.6451.962.576

To run the whole test from your data, use the t-test calculator; for a z-score from raw values, the z-score calculator; for an interval instead of a yes/no answer, the confidence interval calculator.

Common p-value mistakes

  • Doubling a chi-square p-value. Chi-square and F tests are already one-sided.
  • Using z when σ is unknown and n is small. Use t with the right degrees of freedom.
  • Writing p = 0. A p-value is never exactly 0; write p < 0.0001 or give it in scientific notation, as the calculator does (for example 1.973 × 10−9 for z = 6).
  • Treating 0.051 and 0.049 as opposite results. They carry almost the same evidence.

How we check this calculator

Tail areas come from the regularized incomplete gamma function (normal and chi-square) and the regularized incomplete beta function (t and F). Tests check them against NIST critical values: t = 2.228139 with 10 df and χ² = 3.841459 with 1 df must each give exactly 0.05, F = 4.964603 with 1 and 10 df must give 0.05, and z = 1.96 must give 0.0499958.[6]

  • 14 November 2026: page and calculator published.

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Frequently asked questions

How do I find a p-value from a t statistic?

Choose t, enter the statistic and the degrees of freedom, and pick the tail. For t = 2.1 with 24 df, the two-tailed p-value is 0.0464.

What is the p-value for a z-score of 1.96?

0.05 two-tailed and 0.025 one-tailed. That is why 1.96 is the 5% two-sided cut-off.

Is a p-value of 0.05 significant?

At α = 0.05 the rule is p < α, so p = 0.050 exactly is not below 0.05. In practice, report the exact value and the confidence interval rather than relying on the cut-off.

How do I get a chi-square p-value?

Choose chi-square, enter the statistic and the degrees of freedom. The p-value is the right-tail area: χ² = 7.81 with 3 df gives p = 0.0501.

What does a small p-value mean?

That data like yours would be unusual if the null hypothesis were true. It does not say how large or important the effect is.

Sources

  1. The ASA Statement on p-Values: Context, Process, and Purpose (Wasserstein and Lazar) · American Statistical Association, The American Statistician 70(2), 2016
  2. Introductory Statistics 2e, 9.2 Outcomes and the Type I and Type II Errors · OpenStax, Rice University, 2nd edition, 2023
  3. 1.3.6.6.4 t Distribution · NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, 2012 edition (DOI 10.18434/M32189)
  4. 1.3.6.6.6 Chi-Square Distribution · NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, 2012 edition (DOI 10.18434/M32189)
  5. 1.3.6.6.5 F Distribution · NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, 2012 edition (DOI 10.18434/M32189)
  6. 1.3.6.7.2 Critical Values of the Student’s t Distribution · NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, 2012 edition (DOI 10.18434/M32189)